The Mining Disrupt News Surge for Monday, June 9, 2025 opened with a block count. The network had just passed block 900,000 and sat at 900,065, a little over 16 years after the first block was mined on January 3, 2009. Bitcoin was trading at about $104,000 after dipping close to $100,000 and bouncing back, which, the host noted, meant a dollar now bought less than a thousand sats.
The host used the rest of the short solo episode to lay out an idea he said he had just stumbled on and had not yet named: "mini turnings" or "small turnings", a nod to the Fourth Turning theory of generational cycles. His claim is that major political and monetary shocks have arrived roughly every eight years since 1971, and that the next one lines up with a Bitcoin halving.
A post by Willy Woo started it
The starting point was a post by the on-chain analyst Willy Woo (the captions spell it "Willie"), which the host read on air. Woo asked why anyone would sell while large buyers were accumulating, and answered with a chart of the biggest holders.
Who are the idiots that are selling when institutions and sovereigns are racing to buy billions in Bitcoin?
Willy Woo · 2:11
According to the post, wallets holding more than 10,000 bitcoin had been selling since 2017, and most of those coins were bought somewhere between almost nothing and $700, then held for eight to 16 years. The host fixed on that range. Sixteen is a multiple of eight, he pointed out, and eight years became the unit for the rest of the episode.
Counting back in eight-year steps
He began in the present and walked backward, allowing "about a year or two play" in each step. Eight years before 2025 put him near the 2016 election of Donald Trump, which he described as the moment many people started asking how elections and the political apparatus work. Eight years before that was the 2008 financial crisis, when firms were going bankrupt and people feared the end of the financial system.
The next step back he left as a rhetorical question, saying only that something big had shaken the whole world. For the years around 1992 he named the Gulf War. One step further back he listed Reagan's re-election landslide, the invasion of Grenada, the Chernobyl disaster and the recovery from the early-eighties recession. Another step back he listed Watergate, Nixon, the fall of Saigon and the bicentennial celebration. The dates in his lists are loose by his own warning; the point he was making was the spacing, not the exact year.
All of the events of the seventies, he said, followed shortly after 1971, which is where he anchors the pattern. He pointed listeners to the WTF Happened in 1971 site and argued that this was when things started to accelerate.
1971, when Nixon took us off the gold standard, decoupled us.
Mining Disrupt News Surge host · 4:07
From politics to money
For the host, the 2016 step was about politics: people decided they should pay attention to how leaders are chosen. The present step, he argued, is about money. People are starting to ask whether what they store their wealth in matters. He read a post from a user named Sunny Poe to make the point.
My peace of mind comes from Bitcoin in cold storage, not from being debt-free and slaving harder for printed dollars.
Sunny Poe · 4:43
He then turned to Elon Musk's stint in government, which was meant to cut spending and streamline the budget. The host's reading is that Musk found the system could not be fixed. In a business, he said, people want things to work better. A government, in his view, wants the red tape and the entanglements, because the mess is what justifies printing more money, and the new money in turn makes the mess bigger.
The halving at the next step
Eight years forward from mid-2025, the host said, lands near what he called the most significant halving in Bitcoin's history: the one where the block reward drops from more than one bitcoin to less than one. By then more than 99% of all bitcoin will have been mined, and the last percent will be issued over roughly a hundred years.
That's when Bitcoin Block Rewards go from over a Bitcoin to under one Bitcoin.
Mining Disrupt News Surge host · 6:21
He said he did not know what else would happen around that time, but predicted a major shift. He asked whether that is when more governments than not move to a Bitcoin standard and accept it as legal currency, and answered that he did not know.
the idea that many countries, if not the majority of countries around the world, dump their local currency in favor of Bitcoin doesn't seem all that far-fetched to me.
Mining Disrupt News Surge host · 6:57
As evidence that adoption was speeding up, he cited two things from that week: more companies than ever wanting to hold bitcoin on their balance sheets under a treasury strategy, and the restaurant chain Steak 'n Shake ("Shake and Steak" in the captions) accepting bitcoin as payment. He closed by saying governments using bitcoin as their primary currency within eight years did not seem far-fetched to him at all.
Where the argument stands
The episode is a forecast, and the host framed it as one: a pattern he had noticed, not a model he had tested. It also opened with a plug for the Mining Disrupt Expo in Dallas, November 11 to 13, 2025, a move from its usual South Florida home to Texas, which he called the home of Bitcoin mining in the United States. The show carries its usual note that it is for entertainment and education, not financial advice.
When this episode was recorded, Bitcoin traded at $107,751; on October 26, 2026 it was $80,251.